Focus by Marika De Vincenzi, Analyst - Meat CLAL
The global pork market is undergoing a period of significant change, with effects already visible in Europe and Italy.
European production grew in 2025 (+3% between January and August in terms of pigs slaughtered by weight), driven by Spain and Poland, and until the summer, most of the supply was exported to China.
However, the scenario has changed: since September 10, Beijing has imposed provisional tariffs of up to 62.4% on European imports, making exports less competitive and increasing domestic supply, with consequent pressure on prices.
In Italy, too, slaughter pig prices remain depressed and the situation is likely to remain complex in the coming months. The trend is downward.
Internationally, China has ordered a reduction of about 1 million sows (about 2.5% of the current herd) by early 2026. According to Rabobank, this measure could reduce Chinese pork production by 3-5% next year, with possible upward effects on import demand in the medium term.
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